All Posts
Browse all blog posts by year and month
202612
September4
One Prompt, Thirty-Two Calls, or Seven
Batching an LLM checklist is a blast-radius decision before it is a performance one: a seeded simulation of three call shapes, and why a call count is arithmetic while a speed-up is a measurement.
A Detector With Perfect Precision and Zero Recall
A document check cleared every genuine file and every forgery in a labelled set; a seeded synthetic run shows why specificity on genuine inputs is free and recall is the first number to ask for.
The Constant Nobody Could Re-Measure
A magic number survives because there is nothing to re-measure it with. The calibration data is often already in a log you throw away, and the same data sets the noise floor that makes the result readable.
The Forecast Metric That Hides the Failure
A volume weighted error of 7.6 percent and a net bias of 0.2 percent can describe a forecast that loses to a seasonal naive on 77 of 116 slow moving series. A seeded panel shows what to measure instead.
August1
From Brief to Rendered Animation: Making an AI Media Pipeline Inspectable
A failed scene edit shows why reliable AI video systems need approved scripts, timed artifacts, deterministic fallbacks, and media read-back.
June1
Calendar Features for TabPFN Time Series: Geometry, Encodings, and an Open Edge Case
TabPFN-TS turns forecasting into a table-plus-features problem. A 24-hour edge case shows why geometry, checkpoint compatibility, and release evidence are separate gates.
May1
How Far Should You Tune LightGBM? A Budget for the Last Fraction of a Point
LightGBM tuning can win, but only a deployment-faithful baseline and nested validation can show whether the last fraction of a point pays for its search.
April2
Are Tabular Foundation Models Worth the Hype? My Bet Is Yes - but Not for the Reason You Think
Tabular foundation models are a real shift, but the durable bet is about information sets, task breadth, and synthetic priors - not easy benchmark wins.
Insurance AI Needs Evidence Graphs, Not Just Fraud Scores
A synthetic insurance claim shows how hashes, typed facts, contradictions, abstention, and human review make AI recommendations auditable.
February2
From PDFs to Citable Verdicts: Engineering an Evidence-Grounded Qualiopi Pre-Audit
A practical design for separating relevance from proof, preserving document lineage, abstaining safely, and evaluating a citable Qualiopi pre-audit.
From Human-Like Text to Human Voice: What LLM Writing Still Misses
Short AI text can already pass bounded source tests. The harder question is whether a model can sustain one person's situated voice across contexts and time.
January1
I Stopped Prompting Claude Code and Started Engineering the Loop
A green test suite missed an integration seam; a frozen mutation experiment shows how repository rules, executable checks, scoped review, and replay state make agentic work more inspectable.
20253
November2
Aeon Periodograms for Unequal-Length Time Series
How Aeon's PeriodogramTransformer pads unequal-length collections, why its list and 3-D branches need parity, and what one case study teaches.
Fourier Smoothing in Aeon: Symmetry, Cutoffs, and Better Tests
A bounded Aeon DiscreteFourierApproximation case study shows how conjugate symmetry, passband gain, and cutoff semantics expose concrete Fourier failure modes.
October1
Your ACF Can Be Right While Its Confidence Interval Is Wrong
A missing-data bug in statsmodels left ACF estimates unchanged while confidence intervals and Ljung-Box statistics used the wrong sample size.